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Jack Goldstone : ウィキペディア英語版
Jack Goldstone

Jack A. Goldstone (born September 30th 1953) is an American sociologist and political scientist, specializing in studies of social movements, revolutions, and international politics. He is an author or editor of 13 books and over 140 research articles. He is recognized as one of the leading authorities on the study of revolutions and long-term social change. His work has made foundational contributions to the fields of cliodynamics, economic history and political demography. He was the first scholar to describe in detail and document the long-term cyclical relationship between global population cycles and cycles of political rebellion and revolution. He was also a core member of the “California school” in world history, which replaced the standard view of a dynamic West and stagnant East with a ‘late divergence’ model in which Eastern and Western civilizations underwent similar political and economic cycles until the 18th century, when Europe achieved the technical breakthroughs of industrialization.〔See, e.g., (Phases of global demographic transition correlate with phases of the Great Divergence and Great Convergence. ''Technological Forecasting and Social Change''. Volume 95, June 2015, Pages 163–169 ) (with Andrey Korotayev & Julia Zinkina).
〕 He is also one of the founding fathers of the emerging field of political demography, studying the impact of local, regional, and global population trends on international security and national politics.
Goldstone is currently the Virginia E. and John T. Hazel, Jr. Professor in the School of Public Policy at George Mason University. He has also worked as a consultant of the US government, for example, serving as chair of the National Research Council's evaluation of USAID Democracy Assistance Programs. He is also a non-resident Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution, and Director of the Research Laboratory in Political Demography and Macrosocial Dynamics at the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration in Moscow.
His academic awards include the American Sociological Association Distinguished Scholarly Publication Award, for 'Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World,' the Arnaldo Momigliano Award of the Historical Society, and seven awards for 'best article' in the fields of Comparative/Historical Sociology, Political Sociology, Social Theory, and Collective Behavior and Social Movements. He has won fellowships from the Council of Learned Societies, the U.S. Institute of Peace, the MacArthur Foundation, the Australian Research School of Social Sciences, the Canadian Institute for Advanced Research, the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, and is an elected member of the Council on Foreign Affairs and the Sociological Research Association. He has been the Richard Holbrooke Visiting Lecturer at the American Academy in Berlin, the Crayborough Lecturer at Leiden University, and a Phi Beta Kappa National Visiting Scholar.
==Publications==
Selected publications:
* (''Phases of global demographic transition correlate with phases of the Great Divergence and Great Convergence'' ), Technological Forecasting and Social Change (2015)
* ''Revolutions: A Very Short Introduction'' (2013)
* ''Political Demography: How Population Changes are Reshaping International Security and National Politics'' co-edited with Eric P. Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft (2012)
* ''Understanding the Revolutions of 2011: Weakness and Resilience in Middle Eastern Autocracies'' Foreign Affairs (2011)
* ''The New Population Bomb'', Foreign Affairs (2010)
* ''Why Europe? The Rise of the West in World History 1500–1850'' (2008)
* ''States, Parties, and Social Movements'' (2003)
* ''Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World'' (1991)
* ''Revolutions of the Late Twentieth Century'' (1991)

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